Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.109827 0.136269 0.165225 0.198992 0.236995 0.278172 0.325884
2025-03-23 0.076410 0.111017 0.152557 0.204841 0.267682 0.339667 0.427248
2025-03-30 0.050265 0.087055 0.135693 0.201582 0.285584 0.386444 0.514068
2025-04-06 0.033311 0.069872 0.123235 0.200697 0.304707 0.434596 0.604207
2025-04-13 0.023030 0.058893 0.116501 0.205438 0.330175 0.490953 0.706109
2025-04-20 0.016228 0.051027 0.112391 0.212533 0.358323 0.551213 0.814484
2025-04-27 0.011182 0.044188 0.108247 0.218470 0.384480 0.609249 0.921299
2025-05-04 0.006802 0.036229 0.100258 0.217048 0.399352 0.652068 1.008946
2025-05-11 0.004326 0.031288 0.096487 0.221487 0.422388 0.706150 1.112230
2025-05-18 0.002287 0.025483 0.089443 0.219275 0.434754 0.745272 1.195907
2025-05-25 0.000777 0.018551 0.077701 0.206990 0.430219 0.759717 1.245812
2025-06-01 0.000305 0.015569 0.074168 0.208970 0.447859 0.805940 1.339704
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.011655 0.066833 0.202931 0.452455 0.833881 1.409883
2025-06-15 0.000007 0.010820 0.068090 0.214125 0.486087 0.905501 1.542549
2025-06-22 NaN 0.008618 0.064097 0.213890 0.500206 0.948199 1.635078
2025-06-29 NaN 0.006914 0.060897 0.214820 0.516143 0.993802 1.732315
2025-07-06 NaN 0.005969 0.060099 0.220892 0.541179 1.053660 1.850724
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005321 0.060227 0.229004 0.569994 1.119717 1.978771
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004631 0.059778 0.235644 0.596282 1.182240 2.102413
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003506 0.056256 0.234388 0.607980 1.222089 2.193477
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002926 0.055256 0.239198 0.630917 1.279863 2.311306
2025-08-10 NaN 0.002099 0.051704 0.236957 0.640410 1.316378 2.398219
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001102 0.044629 0.224071 0.628767 1.318595 2.434184